Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000540 0.000618 0.000701 0.000796 0.000901 0.001013 0.001142
2025-07-13 0.000429 0.000539 0.000664 0.000817 0.000997 0.001200 0.001447
2025-07-20 0.000367 0.000492 0.000642 0.000831 0.001063 0.001335 0.001675
2025-07-27 0.000312 0.000443 0.000608 0.000824 0.001098 0.001429 0.001855
2025-08-03 0.000266 0.000399 0.000573 0.000809 0.001118 0.001501 0.002006
2025-08-10 0.000238 0.000375 0.000559 0.000818 0.001166 0.001606 0.002199
2025-08-17 0.000212 0.000350 0.000542 0.000820 0.001201 0.001695 0.002372
2025-08-24 0.000181 0.000314 0.000507 0.000793 0.001196 0.001729 0.002473
2025-08-31 0.000155 0.000284 0.000475 0.000769 0.001191 0.001762 0.002571
2025-09-07 0.000139 0.000266 0.000460 0.000766 0.001216 0.001833 0.002721
2025-09-14 0.000125 0.000250 0.000448 0.000767 0.001243 0.001908 0.002878
2025-09-21 0.000112 0.000233 0.000432 0.000758 0.001257 0.001964 0.003009
2025-09-28 0.000098 0.000215 0.000412 0.000744 0.001263 0.002008 0.003125
2025-10-05 0.000092 0.000211 0.000415 0.000766 0.001321 0.002130 0.003354
2025-10-12 0.000086 0.000204 0.000413 0.000779 0.001367 0.002234 0.003560
2025-10-19 0.000077 0.000191 0.000399 0.000772 0.001381 0.002292 0.003700
2025-10-26 0.000068 0.000177 0.000382 0.000758 0.001383 0.002331 0.003813
2025-11-02 0.000063 0.000170 0.000378 0.000766 0.001421 0.002425 0.004007
2025-11-09 0.000057 0.000162 0.000371 0.000768 0.001448 0.002501 0.004176
2025-11-16 0.000049 0.000147 0.000349 0.000742 0.001428 0.002506 0.004239
2025-11-23 0.000042 0.000134 0.000329 0.000719 0.001411 0.002513 0.004306
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000127 0.000321 0.000717 0.001429 0.002575 0.004456
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000121 0.000315 0.000717 0.001451 0.002645 0.004618